Well, let's take a look at the general markets. The S&P and Dow charts, to me, are in conflict.
On the bull side, both show a Golden Cross right here, where the 50 and 200 SMAs crossed. Also, there was a good bounce off the high 890s area in the S&P and that 8250 area in the Dow, from an oversold condition.
On the bear side, it's still a broken trendline that measures to a top around 950 S&P, 8800 Dow. Also, index put/call ratio comes just below 100, starting to get a little more bearish despite the oversold. Quarter-end games tend to end early rather than late.
Still I'd say the next 5% is up. I took some SSO on that bounce off support. Also covered the PM short, need to get a little long here.
Strong groups this past week were transports (rails have been on fire – can’t find an entry point though), telecomm.
I am not enthusiastic, but I guess I could take:
- T as close to 23.75 as you can get
- WMT looks good to enter as close to 48 as you can get.
- If you want an ETF, RTH as close to 76 as you can get.
One real flier among the transports. I probably won't do this:
- AAWW, as close to 21 as you can get him.
Some physical silver around 13.50, if he comes back.